Takes on average 3-6 weeks from infection to death so surely shows deaths going down after 2 weeks of lockdown had nothing to do with lockdown but everything to do with the public practicing social distancing in the weeks leading up to lockdown.So are you staying that if we hadn't have implemented the lockdown we'd have had the same/less deaths? (purely looking at the number of deaths, both anything related to it like the economic impact).
If the peak of death was 2 weeks into the lockdown, with a virus having a 14 day incubation period, isn't there valid argument to say that the growth rate for deaths would have continued to grow, rather than peak 2 weeks after lockdown guidance was put in place?
Although, I did agree with the original lockdown for 3 weeks as it did appear that the nhs could be overwhelmed. I disagree that it needed extending just like I think extending the furlough until October is a big mistake. Most of my mates work in construction and they have no plans to go back to work until the end of summer now at the earliest. They're loving it as now just working 2-3 days per week on each others houses.