cosmicblue
Established Member
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- Sep 25, 2005
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I reckon we have another 12 to 18 months of this which will probably be in successive lock-down/relaxation cycles,
Why? Compared to the total UK population of a little less than 68 million relatively few people are actually confirmed to have had the virus for definite (around 42,000 as of 5th April), with the amazing NHS just about coping. So when the infection rate is in steep decline they will release the lock-down and the cycle will start over again. It is probably the time-intervals between the lock-down/relax cycles will slowly decrease as other factors emerge like effective treatments Eventually, 12-18 months away, hopefully sooner the remainder of the population will have antibodies and probably around the same time there will be a vaccine.
So why are we not hearing this from the Government? I suspect the leadership don't want to have to deal with the consequences - I sizeable chunk of the population would go into sod-it mode and start wandering around, those with difficulties in coping with normal day to day life would go into melt down and the fragile business community would dissolve into mass bankruptcy. Serious civil unrest would promptly follow and has already been seen in Northern Italy.
Why? Compared to the total UK population of a little less than 68 million relatively few people are actually confirmed to have had the virus for definite (around 42,000 as of 5th April), with the amazing NHS just about coping. So when the infection rate is in steep decline they will release the lock-down and the cycle will start over again. It is probably the time-intervals between the lock-down/relax cycles will slowly decrease as other factors emerge like effective treatments Eventually, 12-18 months away, hopefully sooner the remainder of the population will have antibodies and probably around the same time there will be a vaccine.
So why are we not hearing this from the Government? I suspect the leadership don't want to have to deal with the consequences - I sizeable chunk of the population would go into sod-it mode and start wandering around, those with difficulties in coping with normal day to day life would go into melt down and the fragile business community would dissolve into mass bankruptcy. Serious civil unrest would promptly follow and has already been seen in Northern Italy.