Yeah, but then there will be the next improvement, just released, but still astronomically expensive, so you jump forward another ten yearsIt's times like this I wish I had a Tardis and could jump forwards about 10 years so I can buy a 65" one for £399
This is an interesting view.Yeah, but then there will be the next improvement, just released, but still astronomically expensive, so you jump forward another ten years
And find the next....
You get my drift
That is nowhere else to go until for example 3D colour holographic television becomes a reality in peoples homes. That might realistically be at least 30 years away but there will always be improvements to TV’s displays beyond what you have listed because some innovations we cannot even imagine yet. Back in the 1960’s (showing my age now); who would have thought there would be such a thing as the internet, mobile phones, flat screen 3D colour TV’s, Dolby Atmos/DTS:X Pro, or electric cars, to name just a few?This is an interesting view.
There are finite limits at play here and probably the biggest is the ability of the viewer (i.e. human beings) to perceive or appreciate a difference. While technology can continue to advance (getting thinner, cheaper, lighter, brighter etc.) the human is the one static/fixed factor in this race.
On a wider basis there are also very clear "laws of nature" limits. You can only get "so" thin. You can only get "so" bright. You can only get "so" big and so on. Those are limits we are very rapidly approaching and it's not a limitless distance away. Once micro LED comes in and if (big if!) it delivers on its promises then outside very specialist installs, who is going to have screens much bigger than 110" in their homes?
More specifically lets take brightness as an example. Once you get to a certain brightness (I don't know what it is but lets say it's 10000 nits) going any brighter means making people blind as the limit of human eyesight is fixed and immovable. Once you can get 10000 nits on a per led basis then there's no where else to go. Doesn't matter if you can make the LED 20,000nits or 1,000,000 nits as you'll never ever be able to use it in a TV for risk of making someone blind!
Same thing with thinness. Once you get them thin enough and strong enough to roll up into a tube there's not much else you can do with them. Colour response is another, once you can hit 100% of BT2020 accurately where else is there to go? Even if you did cover a wider gamut no one could see it so what would be the point?
Now new applications might instead mean you'll be wallpapering with them in 20 years time and these new applications might transform the very nature of what we think of as a "screen" but if we're talking about a "TV" as we are today, not so much.
I would predict in about 20 or maybe 30 years we'll have reached the end of the road as far as screen technology is concerned. TV's will be as thin, as bright, as colourful and as cheap as we can possibly make them and there will be no margin or incentive to improve them any further as there is no benefit that will ever justify the cost of making those tiny, additional incremental improvements. Human perception and the laws of physics really do define the end point here and once reached there is absolutely no where else to go.
Too early to say that but I see your point...I was really hoping that mini-LED would fill the gap while waiting for micro LED. So far the technology is not that impressive.
Everything you listed was imagined long before it became a reality and certainly long before the 1960's. The first electric cars appeared in the late 1800's. The first mobile phone patent was in 1917. The Internet was imagined in the late 1800's. Now it certainly took a time for those ideas to be realised but that's mainly because the technology underpinning it took time to get small, fast and cheap enough.That is nowhere else to go until for example 3D colour holographic television becomes a reality in peoples homes. That might realistically be at least 30 years away but there will always be improvements to TV’s displays beyond what you have listed because some innovations we cannot even imagine yet. Back in the 1960’s (showing my age now); who would have thought there would be such a thing as the internet, mobile phones, flat screen 3D colour TV’s, Dolby Atmos/DTS:X Pro, or electric cars, to name just a few?
I'm confused, are you suggesting that Panasonic is run as a 'Not for Profit' purely altruistic company and that Samsung are an evil Television innovating pocket thief?I've not been following this. Is it just Samsung pushing micro LED development? It sounds like next proper advancement in high end panels. If Samsung are the only game in town then fair enough but I'm just not a fan (as much as you can be fan of any mega corp trying to extract money from you!). I'm hoping against hope that Pana could release a proper successor to the DX902 with something along the lines of this tech. . . .