Their vote halved, that is significant.I don't think this will impact on the LDs at the election. They've been bobbing around 10%, give or take, for a few years, and I expect that's shat they'll get in 2015, unless something changes.
They'll be hit proportionally less badly than that figure suggests as their vote tends to be concentrated in particular areas.
I doubt very much that any if that remaining 10% core vote is going to UKIP. the big question is what UKIP are taking from the others, and if that vote will hold up in 2015.
How different things could have been if one of the mainstream parties was anti-EU something that is probably needed on the continent more than ever now.
FactCheck: Did Blair promise Euro referendum? - Channel 4 News
Blair did not unambiguously say 'We will have an in/out referendum on EU membership', which is what we're talking about.
What you need is a political party which says "If we are elected we will ask the British public in a legally binding referendum whether or not they wish to remain part of the European Union".
Any 'promise' less than that it's probably unfair to hold them to.
Politicians react to events and situations change. But a clear manifesto commitment is something else.
The trouble is the press. If the Tories hold a referendum you'll get the usual suspects in favour if a pull out, but a pretty clean fight, and (I suspect) a vote to stay put. If it's anyone else there'll be a massive 'No' campaign and the party in charge blamed for the result.
Sorry, gone off topic a little.
it should debate the European constitutional question in detail and decide upon it and then let the people have the final say
We will put it [the constitution] to the British people in a referendum and campaign wholeheartedly for a Yes vote
Whilst I don't doubt his highly paid legal team could pull those apart, they are very much weasel words that the electorate would read as a promise.
All 3 are still talking waffle even after the spanking, they really can not get it can they, they need to start taking the red pill over the blue that they have been taking for a while.
Cameron has offered it, but at the back end of the next term if he gets in. As far as I'm concerned he doesn't really want one - if he did he could have called one this term. I don't trust him and believe he would renege just like Blair did.
Has he given a cast iron guarantee?
Cameron Flashback : “I Will Give This Cast-Iron Guarantee” - Guy Fawkes' blog
The Liberals also used to seem like the nice party as they could promise anything and didn't have to deliver. They promised EU referendums and backed tuition fees and now they are seen to be no different to anyone else.
The Liberal Democrats will never be forgiven for backing tuition fees - Telegraph