That's a difficult one.
Same feeling here for Haga, I can't help but feel for him, he's a top bloke and a top rider and I'd dearly love to see him pick up the Silver this year..but he just isn't consistent enough I'm afraid (I'll still be yellling for him each round though) He kinda reminds me of Anthony Gobert from a few years ago, he had a very similar riding style and also either won or threw it away. (if you do remember Gobert AKA "The Go Show" he's back again in SS600's!!!)
therefore If it was my cash i think it would have to be Corser. I think Bayliss is probably faster in perfect conditions but at the end of the day the Suzuki appears to be so much quicker when they get it right on the day and Corser always appears to be able ride effing quick without breaking into a sweat and can usually find that bit extra. (bit dull to watch though compared to Haga)
Mind you Barros is looking a bit tidy as well eh!
So...for Valencia I'm going to say
Race 1
1st - Corser
2nd - Bayliss
3rd - Barros
Race 2
1st - Corser
2nd - Barros
3rd - Nitro Nori!