2018 Share Competition

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by saintie1, Dec 30, 2017.

  1. saintie1

    saintie1
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    OK so it is clear there are a few folk out there that invest/dabble/gamble in shares. Lets see who really are good tipsters and those who know nothing. How about a wee comp to pick the best shares for 2018?

    To make it interesting and even the playing field, everyone must pick one share from the All Share Index, one from AIM and one from FTSE 100. The winner will be the one whose shares have performed the best by 31st Dec 2018. To add to the "excitement" the performance will be measured as a median of all of the 3 shares performance over the year.

    Lets start the comp on Sat 6th Jan to let everyone have time to get their punts in. No prizes here just knowing you won is all I can offer.

    My shares are WIZZ Air (all share), Burford Capital (AIM) & NCM Health (FTSE 100).
     
  2. SteveCritten

    SteveCritten
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    Will the dividends be included in the final tally?
     
  3. SteveCritten

    SteveCritten
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    Right here is my list going for steady rather than gamble.
    Centamin (all share)
    NCC group (aim)
    Lloyd’s Bank (FTSE 100)

    I haven’t bought any NCC yet but I will when markets open again.
     
  4. saintie1

    saintie1
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    I can see why you asked but a wee bit complicated for this. It will be a straight before/after check on the share price. I'll rattle up some spreadsheet to keep track of everyone's picks.

    Also for those that don't normally do shares or thinking of dabbling feel free to join in. At the end of the year you will be in one of two camps....

    1 - be glad that you didn't buy as your picks crashed or
    2 - envious of the winner whose share performance would have transformed into a wee pot of gold
     
  5. SteveCritten

    SteveCritten
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    To be honest, these days my approach to shares is different to when I used to take a gamble or two. I would say over the 30 years of dipping in and out of shares I have probably gained about 30% with some big losses but luckily some bigger gains Next and NHP being a couple.
    Now though I buy my shares on the basis that they aren’t going to shoot up but be steady with a slightly better divi gain than I can get in a bank. I don’t use a lot though as most of my money is in property at the moment.
     
  6. imightbewrong

    imightbewrong
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    Thread would be more interesting if people gave their brief reasoning for their picks, and their price increase prediction for the year :)
     
  7. Trollslayer

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    I stick to funds, much more predictable and long term returns of 15-20% are realistic if you don't hop around and don't have to take money out regularly.
    I assume this is shares only.
     
  8. SteveCritten

    SteveCritten
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    Ok Lloyd’s Bank is because I have Barclays because they make a solid profit of £2-£3 billion a year and are trading at £1.80ish whereas I notice Lloyd’s made £4b last year and are 68p. I think once things settle down they will be over £1 at least.
    Centamin are silver miners and were the only ones still making a profit when silver bottomed out due to the efficient method of mining I predict a 20% gain over the year.
    NCC was more of a punt as they showed a loss last year due to buying up other businesses and cyber attacks will be more prevelant so these companies will get more work.
     
  9. SteveCritten

    SteveCritten
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    Just a bit of fun :smashin:.
     
  10. imightbewrong

    imightbewrong
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    Stick your fund predictions in absolutely - it's all about return on capital at the end of the day.
     
  11. Trollslayer

    Trollslayer
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  12. saintie1

    saintie1
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    Wizz Air - did have it then Brezit vote came in and the stop loss kicked it out. (Now doubled in price since then) but think there is more to come.
    Burford Capital - been in for a while, stunning company with big upside potential
    NCM Health - not in but need one to complete the trio of shares.
     
  13. saintie1

    saintie1
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  14. domtheone

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    One day the market will like Banks again. Sadly, it won't happen any time soon, imo, as banker bashing is here to stay.:( That said, the great scam that is PPI is finally coming to and end soon. What will replace is though..?

    As much as i'd like Lloyds to have a great year (it' my largest holding), year after year, they don't.

    Tempted to go with a stock that's had a torrid time (BT) but will stick with IAG.

    Oil still low (relatively). Sector consolidation ongoing (will last years). Booming, insatiable worldwide lust for air travel.

    Good couple of years for IAG but still one of the cheapest of all FTSE stocks with a P/E of circa 7. Hoping we'll see 800-1000p in a years time. Providing there's no US (ie world) crash in markets and no more terrorists blowing planes out of the sky.

    AIM - Pantheon Resources. Speculative Junior Oil and Gas. Might rebound next year as it gets closer to its end game (prove up resources and sell out).

    FTSE All Share. Not sure on this one. Can I have Shell (RDSB). That would make 2 100 stocks though.

    If not, Rotork. Small holding in this. Recovering nicely (heavy link to the price of oil). May get snapped up (or continue itself on the acquisition trail) next year.
     
  15. deantown

    deantown
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    Nobody’s tipped Sirius .....yet :)
     
  16. saintie1

    saintie1
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    Since everyone will be "rich" with Sirius come 2020 something should you pick it for a 2018 competition?

    What are your 3 picks?
     
  17. SteveCritten

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    Because it won’t come good till 2020 as has been said plus I don’t want to tempt fate ha.
     
  18. Swiss Tony

    Swiss Tony
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    Personally I'd avoid LLOY for growth, there's still more skeletons in the cupboard.They will keep the divis high though so good for income seekers.
     
  19. swall101

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    Last edited: Dec 31, 2017
  20. deantown

    deantown
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    Standard Life Aberdeen - Cost cutting will save millions and growth with good Dividends.
    Connect Group - Cash rich and diversifying from newspapers/magazines, also good dividends.
    UK oil & Gas - Upturn in the industry maybe? This is my gamble share.

    I have shares in two of the above companies.
     
  21. swall101

    swall101
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  22. saintie1

    saintie1
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    Thinking caps on folks. 2018 is here and the competition is wide open to anyone. All it takes is 3 companies from FTSE100, All Share & AIM. Nothing to loose, just go for it, still a few more days left before the competition starts.
     
  23. saintie1

    saintie1
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    Last call for your picks. Anyone else want to pick 3 shares? 1 from FTSE, 1 from All Sahre index & 1 AIM. I'll close this tomorrow using Friday's closing prices.
     
  24. Welby1107

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    A bit late apologies but still prior to Market opening Monday 8th so Friday prices will apply.

    FTSE = Persimmon
    All Share= Avon Rubber
    Aim = AB Dynamics
     
  25. saintie1

    saintie1
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    I have transferred the shares into an excel spreadsheet but the "Upload a File" button does not like it. Any ideas what I am doing wrong?
     
  26. domtheone

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    ^^^
    Nope:blush:

    All my 3-4 picks started the year off well, save for the AIM (typical) stock:rolleyes:
     
  27. deantown

    deantown
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    Sorry can’t help. But I’m thinking/hoping my Shares will be the winners.
     
  28. MrSossidge

    MrSossidge
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    Use excel online and post a link instead.
     
  29. imightbewrong

    imightbewrong
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    You can put a table in a post - like this

    User Category Share Start price
    1 Imbw FTSE100 Lloyds 77.4
    2 Deantown AIM SSX 23.2


    Screenshot_20180112-173443__01.jpg
     
  30. SteveCritten

    SteveCritten
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    So who is winning out of interest. 2 of mine doing ok 1 a small loss.
     

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