Excellent article on the UK debt by Jeff Randall...
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| | #61 | |
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Sorry for typos, on my phone. | |
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| | #62 |
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So parking Cloverleafs comment for a moment. There is a problem with how Northern cities see themselves. It would be great to rebalance the economy, but there are a number of actions that are unlikely to happen: 1) Northen cities (eg Mancester / liverpool or Glasgow/ edinburgh) need to join up so that they have critical mass on the world stage. London is over 6x the size of any other UK city. Greater London has the popn of Scotland, Wales and NI together. 2) Real economy vs public sector, there needs to be a self funding balance the public sector in an area needs to be afforded by the private sector in the area. This only happens in London - even Scotland is the next most thriving private sector does not balance its public sector. 3) Realise that equality is about opportunities not outcomes. |
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| Thanks from: | sidicks (02-04-2012) |
| | #63 | |
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Pointless comments by right wingers who support a clueless, apart from enriching themselves and party donors, govt as if it knows what it's doing. What do you know about Northern cities and 'how they see themselves'. Above zero that is? A super conurbation in the North, how's that for funny..... Not because the cities of the North are backward thinking or hidebound, but because they are all competing for a shrinking pot of money and are up against a govt that is totally Londoncentric, or more precisely 'Tory heartland' centric. Are businesses being encouraged by the govt to set up in the Regions (never mind the North) outside the SE? No chance. The local business leader on the Wirral summed it up nicely, "the NW has been hit hard by Public sector job cuts and the govt needs to recognise this. The Private sector has been equally hit hard to by these cuts, and, with the outlook as gloomy as it is, we need the govt to be more 'business friendly". Funny, I thought Osbourne and co were supposed to be business friendly, but I digress........ The problem, as the govt knew full well, but those who follow it, didn't, is that the Public Sector and Private are, as they should be, intrinsically linked. So, when Public sector staff got the push, private sector jobs went too. How then, was the Private sector to pick up the slack? Without govt investment? But of course, they can't do that, as they are committed to cuts which are going to bite ever deeper very soon. The only reason the Private/Public sector in London balances out is because it's the biggest employer and traditionally the lowest levels of unemployment! Give Glasgow the same levels of employment and the same levels of average wage, and I'm sure we'd see the same. ![]() The biggest problem we face is that the consumer led economy is an animal that devours itself. Touting manufacturing as the way forward is comical when the manufacturing sector is now so small, and yet no other alternatives bar this phantom 'high tech future' which materialised in 2010, and, like the 'Big Society smacks of yet another Central office invention to justify dogma driven policies (hello chinless Gove), is being offered up. Until something concrete arrives to replace the old manufacturing based economy, we are doomed to put up with half baked policies produced by half wits. And I don't just mean the Tories. Dovercat, as you say, the NHS is finished and private health care is now here to stay. Funny how policies that line ministers, Lords and Tory donors pockets keep getting passed. | |
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| | #64 | |
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though tech wise we don't do too bad, but then living in Cambridge I'm surrounded by tech and research so may have a rather distorted view.
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| | #65 | |
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Some of Britain's best Hi-Fi marques originated in your neck of the woods. Mind you. looking at Ebay, a lot of people have had enough of blighty! I keep picking up bargains recently from 'everything must go, emigrating' sellers! ![]() | |
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| | #66 | |
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I'd love to get into tech somehow but without the education I can see it happening sadly, frustrating living where I am.Why the hell we are so short sighted in this country I don't know, very frustrating. | |
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| | #67 | |
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It's held us back for over 150 years, seen us lead everywhere and throw away that lead, it wastes people, and keeps useless people in the most dangerous position - at the top. | |
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| | #68 | |||
| Senior Member | @Overkill Seeing as you took time to reply, I shall do the same on the basis that we do not turn this into a slagging match. The problem is that under the last 30 years many state monopolies were turned into private sector monopolies (hardly good capitalism) and then under labour state sector jobs were given to the private sector (again hardly true private sector). So these are not really private sector jobs – they are pseudo public sector. My point about these other cities is that they compete against each other. Foreign investors do not think “Yes Manchester is better than Liverpool” they think North West England is better than South West France. But it is rare to see that kind of joined up thinking. What sort of government investment do you want? I am all for the right sort of investment. Let’s lop £20Bn out of the welfare/health/education/defence budgets (the big budgets should have fat right?...?!?) and set up an investment fund. Any takers with credible business cases that stand up to scrutiny? There are plenty of investors out there looking for a home for their capital. Business are stashing their cash in big piles! So will this really work? Quote:
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When they last did that the workers went on strike and killed the old economy. The problem as I see it is that same mentality is still around, there are many MANY people who think government and by that we probably mean the Tories, killed off their jobs. They do not realise that priced themselves out of the market. Our shipyards, coalmines and other industries were not competitive any longer. Any move to temporary reduce headcount (and probably permanently reduce FTE of certain roles) in the process of modeternisation were met with a short-termist defence that has cost both those communities and the country as a whole a great deal. Post war post empire, in the 50s and 60s we were a manufacturing powerhouse, but whilst “faster, cheaper, better” became the norm everywhere else. “better conditions, higher wages, tried and tested approach” was the mantra here – if not in absolute terms comparatively to the new economies of Amsterdam's and Singapore’s ports, Japan’s hi-tech and China mass production. Last edited by icstm; 03-04-2012 at 11:24 AM. | |||
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| | #69 | |||||||||
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There is nothing 'pseudo private sector' about what happened at all. Quote:
Does any major city in the Western World not? I would not say no if I were you as it's well documented that they do..... Competition is both natural, central govt encouraged, and inevitable given the pool of cash available. I agree whole heartedly that a joined up approach might work better, but, when you are all competing for a shrinking market with shrinking funds, it ain't going to happen. Quote:
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I'm not trying to wind you up here, and none of these are 'dark left wing secrets', they are all easily checkable down your local library, oops I forgot, the govt cuts have closed most of those! ![]() | |||||||||
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| | #70 | |
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@overkill I'll just pick up on 3 things - voted labour more than tory in the last 3 elections. This is the 2nd thread you have made a mistake with ppl of opposing views assuming them to have voted Tory in the last election. UK manfacturing is/was high, but back then it was in labour intensive fields rather than Pharma and others today: LINK Lastly, Quote:
However, given too much off your post is polictically imbalanced, I shall pause from my reply. If you cannot see the difference between German and UK industry - even today, where it does exisit, then I cannot help in your understanding of why we are where we are. 70s/80s govts. may have not helped things, but the writing was on the wall and written by the workers/management | |
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| | #73 | |
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It has been replaced by bust. Don't forget that this great man 'saved the world'? | |
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| Thanks from: | sidicks (05-04-2012) |
| | #74 |
| Senior Member |
Economies don't necessarily have to go in cycles, unfortunately we never seem to learn enough from past errors and history repeats itself. We need only look at PFIs in 2008 we signed off 32, 38 in 2009; then 34 in 2010 and 39 in 2011. Not to mention we continue with QE. My new analogy for government spending is like going to the casino and playing the roulette, stick everything on red and hope it pays off. |
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| | #75 | |
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But I am yet to see how verbose the following is as of this moment.I think that you desire a world that is long past, never to return. For one thing, in general, manufacturing requires nowhere near the number of workers it once did for the same unit of output. Technology has seen to that. The automotive industry is a very good example of this. There are examples where this is not true, but these tend to be in nations where people are less expensive to employ than machines. And machines don't complain. Steel production was once a high technology industry. Now steel is a commodity, a bit like pork bellies but less tasty. Besides, having worked in a steel mill, I can tell you it is the most terrifying place to work I have ever encountered. However, I am thrilled to hear that you have discovered that 'The coal mines are still viable'. That is indeed wonderful news. Still, I cannot but find it strange that the mining majors haven't flocked to our former collieries to snap up a right old bargain in the last thirty years. After all, they love investing in a gold mine, quite literally ![]() Regardless, here is some data for you regarding manufacturing output. Can you check it please and see if it supports your hypothesis of a ravaged manufacturing sector under the previous Conservative administration? I suspect it looks better when plotted as a scatter graph in Excel (other spreadsheet applications are available). My source is "UN National Accounts Main Aggregates Database". I'm not sure who these UN guys are, but they sound like a right bunch of cowboys to me, so I'd take this with a pinch of salt ![]() Table 2: Manufacturing output as % of world total Gross value added in $US at market exchange rates and current prices Year, UK Share 1970 4.1% 1971 4.2% 1972 4.1% 1973 3.7% 1974 3.6% 1975 3.8% 1976 3.3% 1977 3.3% 1978 3.5% 1979 3.9% 1980 4.5% 1981 4.2% 1982 4.0% 1983 3.7% 1984 3.3% 1985 3.4% 1986 3.6% 1987 3.9% 1988 4.3% 1989 4.2% 1990 4.3% 1991 4.2% 1992 4.1% 1993 3.7% 1994 3.8% 1995 3.8% 1996 3.9% 1997 4.3% 1998 4.5% 1999 4.3% 2000 3.9% 2001 3.9% 2002 3.9% 2003 3.8% 2004 3.7% 2005 3.5% 2006 3.5% 2007 3.4% 2008 2.8% 2009 2.4% 2010 2.3% Yes, that was pretty verbose. Kind regards, Damo Last edited by damo_in_sale; 06-04-2012 at 12:49 AM. Reason: Added a comma to table header between 'Year' and 'UK Share', corrected typo, replaced 'horrifying' with 'terrifying'-accuracy | |
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| | #76 | ||
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In this post: Potential Public Sector Strikes, your feelings? (and I'm using it only as a reference point) the comment was made that the interest on the debt was over £50 Bn per year. Presumably quite close to £50 Bn. Quote:
BBC News - The truth about Greek Porsche owners especially the line Quote:
But they don't pay their taxes, the Government lets them get away with it and we bale them all out. Why the **** didn't we just let them sink? | ||
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| | #77 |
| Conspicuous Member | Primarly because the EU is a political project rather than an economic one. It makes little economic sense to continue to bail them out - it imposes undue austerity measures on the people of Greece and the ongoing costs are paid for by the German population. However, as soon as one country leaves, the EU masterplan starts to fall apart, and certain people just won';t allow that to happen... ![]() Sidicks |
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| | #78 |
| Senior Member | Is the fall in percentage terms during recent years due to UK manufacturing output slowing down or shrinking (possible mismanagement by UK industry or government) or is it due to world manufacturing output accelerating with us staying at the same speed not keeping up. Whatever the cause it looks like our importance if we have any as a manufacturing nation in the world is declining.
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| | #79 |
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^ only since the crash, otherwise it was in and around 4%
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| | #80 | |
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I favour a two tier EU with the major players ,including ourselves, within the Eurozone and those deemed to be basket cases , outside it | |
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| | #82 |
| Eminent Member | militarily maybe so , but it was also about creating the conditions, by trading and economic development, whereby further conflicts would be unlikely to take place .The precursor of the EU was the coal and Steel community, which was set up to create economic and diplomatic stability amongst nations eager never to go to war again |
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| | #83 |
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The EU and Euro have certainly done a great job of promoting economic stability in Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Italy.... |
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| | #84 |
| Senior Member | Not sure I agree with your conclusion. 3.9% in 1979 (what Labour left The Tories) 4.3% in 1997 (what the Tories left Labour) 3.4% in 2007 (the last figure of the Labour government before any international financial crisis) 2.3% in 2010 (what Labour left the Tory/LibDem coalition) Let us compare 1997 with 2007, before any global financial crisis, in order to address your argument. The Tory government left a nation with manufacturing output, expressed as a percentage of world manufacturing output, 26.5% bigger than after ten years of a Labour government. If we compare 1997 figures to 2010 figures, then the Tories left the nation with manufacturing output 87% better than Labour left the coalition government. Kind regards, Damo Last edited by damo_in_sale; 20-04-2012 at 7:49 AM. |
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though tech wise we don't do too bad, but then living in Cambridge I'm surrounded by tech and research so may have a rather distorted view.
Some of Britain's best Hi-Fi marques originated in your neck of the woods. 
I'd love to get into tech somehow but without the education I can see it happening sadly, frustrating living where I am.








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