| Why I believe SACD will succeed and DVD-A will not
I will make it clear at the beginnining that I have just bought a SACD/DVD player. I put a lot of thought into which way to go and in the end it had to be SACD. I have no opinion as to the relative performance as I have not heard DVD-A but am happy that there is not a lot in it.
I think we have to look at the buying public to see how this will go. Somebody mentioned Betmax/VHS but I don't think this is the same. Firstly, what do we need to play a DVD-A? A DVD player, connected to a multi channel reciever. 'Got that' you say but how many DVD players in the UK are hooked up to amps? 10%? So, all those that aren't, a basic Aiwa CD midi-stack will sound better for music than the TV right? Basically, we are talking about a very small audience who are going to buy these disks and be able to use them. I don't see that audience growing hugely either.
Now, SACD. You could point to the above and say it's just the same and granted, right now it may be. But what happens when the record labels start pressing all new CD's as CD/SACD hybrids? The guy with his Aiwa can still play, he may even think it's better. All those with multi-channel amps can play it. It won't be long before Aiwa, Alba, Bush etc. start building SACD into their standard Comet style systems. People will buy it because they will be told it is better (which of course it is) than CD.
In my opinion, Sony will push SACD as largely a high res, 2 channel format, similar to CD but much better. The disks will be backward compatible and those who have a SACD player will benefit. The take up may be slow but if all disks are pressed as hybrids, what do they have to lose? They will recoup their investment eventually. As for the multi channel side of it, I'm not sure that will do any better than DVD-A although both deserve to do well.
I just think that very soon, it will be a lot easier for Joe public to get hold of SACD's and a player than DVD-A. We also have to remember public perception. SACD is like CD's only super. DVD-A is like video, but with no pictures? Why would they buy that?
Of course, I could be wrong and when Aiwa bring out a midi system with a DVD-A player built in, I'll eat my hat with pleasure.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not having a go at DVD-A, just a bit of future gazing. I do think I would think twice before committing a lot of money to either format. If SACD falls on it's arriss then I'll have a nice DVD player for the bedroom that only cost £200.
S
|